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Planning Resolution Choices for Variable-Resolution Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Decision-Relevant Synthesis from Severe Tropical Cyclone Hina (1985)

Author(s): L. Faggion1, R. Furlan2
1Charles Darwin University
2Lusail University
L. Faggion
Charles Darwin University
R. Furlan
Lusail University

Abstract

Model-configuration choices in large-scale environmental simulation are planning decisions: they determine how computational resources are allocated, which physical processes are resolved, and whether outputs are credible enough for downstream risk interpretation. This paper develops a planning-oriented synthesis of published evidence for Severe Tropical Cyclone Hina (Southwest Pacific, March 1985), using the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) in both quasi-uniform and variable-resolution configurations as the empirical basis. Drawing on the original experimental design, we compare seven reported simulations spanning 50 km, 25 km, and 12.5 km grids, including a larger-domain 12.5 km stretched-grid experiment. The analysis shows that horizontal resolution is the strongest configuration lever among the tested options. The 50 km configuration behaves similarly to ERA5 and substantially under-resolves storm intensity, whereas 25 km improves the intensification phase but remains too weak at peak. The 12.5 km experiments most closely capture the observed intensity envelope and yield a more credible inner-core structure, including a radius of maximum wind near 30 km, stronger tangential and radial circulation, higher rainfall, and greater surface heat flux near the storm centre. Variable-resolution grids retain the main benefits of uniform high resolution while offering a more practical design pathway for regional applications. The paper’s contribution is a decision framework that translates these published physical diagnostics into configuration guidance for simulation-based hazard studies.

Copyright © 2025 L. Faggion, R. Furlan. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.